Aging out…

Japan is in trouble population wise…

The total has shrunk for the fourth year running, falling back to a level it was last at in 2000, with more than one in four people now aged 65 or older.

From the Guardian, HERE.

But it’s not just Japan. China is doing the same thing, although they aren’t publicizing it. One generation plus of ‘male’ children has cut their population growth to a negative number.

The last figure I saw was something in the neighborhood of 2.1 to 2.16 required to maintain a zero growth rate (which the environmentalists love)…

Problem is, Japan, the US and China are all aging more rapidly than the birth rate to replace us as workers. I’ve seen various reports that China ‘claims’ they won’t see negative growth until 2030, but others say it’s already happening. BUT at 1.3 BILLION give or take a few hundred million, how can one tell?

The Japanese situation is the US in micro, with us baby boomers moving into retirement/death now. There aren’t enough ‘kids’ behind us to maintain the work pool to pay for us (and giving away entitlements to illegals isn’t helping).

This is a Total Fertility Rate calculation by country, and while the USA shows a rate of 2-3 children per family, that is averaged over ALL ethnicities. When you actually drill down, caucasians/asians fall in the 0-1 category, blacks in the 3-4 category, hispanic and middle eastern in the 4-6 category.

Countriesbyfertilityrate.svg
“Countriesbyfertilityrate” by Supaman89 – Own work – updated per The World FactBook (CIA) – https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2127rank.html. Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0

Probably the scarier part at least for America, is the change in basic values as illegals who don’t WANT to assimilate into America are changing the culture here by taking everything they can (entitlements, medical, etc.) and shipping the money they do make back to their home countries to bring more illegals here.

I don’t like the trends I’m seeing and I feel for my children and grandchildren. I don’t know what they are going to face in 20-30 years…

Edit- Ironically Bob has a post up HERE on a much more localized impact of aging…

Comments

Aging out… — 17 Comments

  1. With 7 grandchildren and counting, I’m doing my bit — but the rest of you slackers…

  2. China’s problem is compounded, as one economist put it “China will grow old before they grow rich.”

  3. LL- I got the 2.0, but the daughters are behind the power curve… 🙂

    Odssyeus- That’s a great point too! Their ‘rich’ are less than 1% of the population, and all ‘connected’ to the power structure.

  4. Add the infanticide of abortion to the mix.
    In the 90s we ere discussing the loss of labor available for growth and saw it equaled the abortion count.

  5. This is yet another reason why we don’t need to rush to bring in millions of young illegals from places like Mexico and el Salvador. They are coming by the millions and some of their activist leaders have boasted that they will have more kids here than actual Americans. Keep this up long enough and in a few generations, they’ll have all the power that they need to start running large parts of this country.

  6. You are 100% correct about the mindset of those who come here not to become Americans, but rather to take advantage of – or even worse, to change – America.

    For a glimpse into the future, just look at what’s happening in Europe as those-who-shall-not-be-named immigrate (infiltrate?) and drag down once great nations.

  7. I think most people forget is that the immigrants are here for the opportunities that exist in the U.S., not in their country. In their home country, becoming successful is much more difficult.

    They aren’t here to become Americans – they are here to become rich.

  8. I am not buying into the argument that replacement rate of human populations spell doom. Not even a little.

    With a few exceptions, the birthrate drops in a reverse correlation with increased education of the population and the increase in technological development.

    The high birthrates you see in crap hole areas of Africa are not what the human race aspires to achieve. Poverty, disease and misery are associated with these high birthrates, not paradise.

    In Japan, where young cheap labor is now at a premium (and no longer cheap), technology is now driven to create robots to perform the work that geezers used to get on the cheap from kids. Problem solved, and in time the geezers die off, people still have kids, the ‘problem’ will equilibrate in the fullness of time.

    I don’t buy the histeria of the ‘aging of the population’ as doom and gloom. It smecks of the global warming hoax to me.

    Not buying it at all.

  9. Well, I don’t know what that means. Is it good or is it bad? Maybe we won’t need to replace the workforce because we will be run by robots and automation. (snork snork) And then if you are an environmentalist that is excellent news and we can get rid of this global warming phenomena caused by human consumption dumption.

  10. And I just realized we had a blog post about the same name on two totally different aging factors. LOL

  11. And your captcha moments are like ink blot tests. WTH? It’s like common core education. LOL