Maybe…
Tropical Storm Bertha is causing impacts along the northern Gulf as coastal communities in parts of Florida, Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana brace for strong wind gusts, heavy rain and coastal flooding.
Bertha formed Monday in the northeastern Gulf, becoming the second named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season.
The storm has turned westward, and tropical storm conditions are spreading over portions of the Florida panhandle, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).
Full article, HERE from Fox News.
As you can see below, Bertha’s track has been anything but stable. And it is unusual for one to continue this far west without turning north…
This thing has turned around twice, pointed in multiple directions, and the computer tracks… well, this is one of the ‘better’ sets of predictions…
The only real ‘advantage’ to the westward direction, is that the strongest rain bands are out over the Gulf and will probably stay there unless it takes the HAFS-B or HWRF tracks. There will still be a good amount of rain, and some storm surge, but not as bad as it ‘could’ be. But Texas and Louisiana have already had major rain events in the last week or so, and there is really no where for the water to go.
So if you are anywhere near the path, keep an eye on the weather, and be ready to head to high ground!
Hey Old NFO,
Yope y’all stey OK up there in central Texas. The problem with your weather is that once it gets good and hammered…..it heads east and frolics in my backyard….Just saying.
No where to go? Are you kidding? Most of the reservoirs in south Texas are only at thirty percent full. AFTER the rains of last week. Lake Medina was down to seven percent before the rains. Last I checked it was only 15 percent full. We can still use every drop. The problem we have is too many people. Back in “my day” with 3 million people we had plenty of water. Now?
Canyon Lake is at 99.1 percent as of last week
I hope nobody does anything crazy like launching a P-3 to go flying around in a hurricane.
The current position is more to the north. One forecast has the winds diminishing, the storm becoming a remnant low, and the track along the Texas coast to the Rio Grande Valley. If it does, and rain is part of the passage, those needing more rain will be rewarded.
Fun question: Would I be remarkably worse than actual meteorologists if I propose that Bertha will go through Mississippi, Arkansas, and then into Oklahoma to destroy that NOAA severe storms lab?
(I think we should take over Cuba, then establish a new prison camp there which we can relocate NOAA to. This would mitigate the hazard of global severe weather by transferring important jobs to a safe and secure location.)
All- Good points, but rain on the ‘ground’ does not translate to filling lakes, especially when the ground is already soaked. Bertha is ashore in Louisiana, so now the question is will it turn north and peter out, or keep going into Texas as a TD? No good answers…
Bob- LOL, they WANT to be in tornado alley, saying they can give ‘better’ information if they are watching the storms form!
Prevailing winds map (worldwide) centered on Bertha right now:
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-92.50,29.37,2999
Yeah, I know, I’m late to the game with this one. Maybe I’ll post this in today’s upcoming post too.